Nominated Contenders: DRAMA SERIES
Julian Fellowes Downton Abbey, “Episode 7” (PBS)
Alex Gansa, Howard Gordon, and Gideon Raff Homeland, “Pilot” (Showtime)
Matthew Weiner and Semi Chellas Mad Men, “The Other Woman” (AMC)
Andre Jacquemetton and Maria Jacquemetton Mad Men, “Commissions and Fees” (AMC)
Matthew Weiner and Semi Chellas Mad Men, “Far Away Places” (AMC)
Let’s just come right out and say it: You never want to bet against Weiner, whose only serious competition lately in the writing category is himself. This is the fourth time since Mad Men hit the air that he has earned more than one writing nomination for the show. In 2009 alone, he landed four. With two more this time, he now has 11 writing nods for Mad Men alone, winning three. He also has nine Emmy wins to date and 21 nominations, though he lost in the category in 2011.
This, of course, brings up the question of which Weiner episode he cowrote with Semi Chellas is more likely to resonate with voters. Is it “The Other Woman” or “Far Away Places”? For Chellas, both episodes mark her first two Emmy noms. But just to add another element to the mix, married couple Andre and Maria Jacquemetton also are nominated here, making it three in total for Mad Men. The Jacquemettons have won three times for the show as producers (in 2008, ’09, and ’11) but never for their writing in two previous nominations. If you’re them, do you even want to beat Weiner? Doesn’t seem like it would necessarily be the smartest career move.
This is also not to say that the non-Mad Men nominees here have no chance. Fellowes is only a previous Oscar winner (for his Gosford Park screenplay in 2002) and won a pair of Emmys last year for Downton Abbey (albeit in the movie/mini category). Fellowes is nominated twice again (for writing and producing), and he has to be seen as a solid longshot pick. So, too, are Gansa, Gordon, and Raff for the acclaimed Homeland pilot. Gordon also has nine prior Emmy nominations to his credit. The series already won the drama series prize this year at the Golden Globes and could catch fire at the Emmys, too. If it does, a writing win isn’t so far-fetched.
Prediction: It will be Weiner again–an easy pick to make considering he has a 40% shot and everyone else only 20%. If there is going to be an upset, go with the Homeland trio. [X]